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Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making ISBN 1584881674 инфо 2404m.

Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making ISBN 1584881674 инфо 2404m.

Risk or uncertainty assessments are used as aids to decision making in nearly every aspect of business, education, and government As a follow-up to the author's bestselling Risk Assessment and Decision Makingахмаб in Business and Industry: A Practical Guide,Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making presents comprehensive examples of risk/uncertainty analyses from a broad range of applications Decision/option selection ManufacturingEnvironmental assessmentPricingIбехитdentification of business drivers Production sharingInsurance Scheduling and optimizationInvesting SecurityLawEmphasizing value as the focus of risk assessment, this book offers discussions on how to make decisions using each risk model and what insights the model can provide The presentation of each model also includes computer code that encapsulates its logic and direction on how to apply the model to other types of problemsThe author devotes a chapter to techniques for consistentбоякъly collecting data in an inconsistent world and offers another chapter on how to reflect the effect of "soft" issues in the value of an opportunity The book's final chapters delineate the techniques and technologies used to perform risk/uncertainty analyses, including sections on distribution, Monte Carlo process, dependence, sensitivity analysis, time series analysis, and chance of failureVisit RiskSupportcom for more information!.